StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Celta Fortuna v CD Castellón

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 19:30 UTC

Endstand: Celta Fortuna 1–2 CD Castellón

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Celta Fortuna (Heim)

Prognose 23.41%4.27faire Quote
EV -1.69%
Vorteil -0.403%
Kelly -0.529%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.58%23.45%23.30%24.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.923.904.2027.78%25.50%25.64%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

CD Castellón (Auswärts)

Prognose 52.35%1.91faire Quote
EV -2.62%
Vorteil -1.41%
Kelly -3.05%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.86

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.01%52.44%52.35%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.671.761.751.8659.88%56.75%57.14%53.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.24%4.13faire Quote
EV +1.81%
Vorteil +0.430%
Kelly +0.565%
Wachstum +0.010%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.95%24.11%24.35%25.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.743.704.2028.57%26.75%27.03%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Celta Fortuna (Heim): 23.41%; CD Castellón (Auswärts): 52.35%; Unentschieden: 24.24%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.13. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.20 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.81%.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.80%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.25%EV -5.24%E -2.89%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV +1.81%E +0.430%K +0.565%G +0.010%3.7%2026-08-31 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.451%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 19:20
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:10
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:20
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -3.04%E -0.760%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 19:20
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 19:20
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 19:20
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.69%E -0.403%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.19%E -2.29%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:20
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.68%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 19:20
1xBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.01%EV -2.62%E -1.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 19:25
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 19:20
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 19:15
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 19:20
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -15.74%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 19:25
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.00%E -6.47%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-31 19:20
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.03%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 19:25
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 19:25
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 19:19
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -12.23%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 19:15
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:15
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.55%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.29%EV -9.95%E -5.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 19:19
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.76%E -3.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.89%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.70%EV -12.57%E -7.53%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 19:20
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.72%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.33%E -4.14%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 19:00
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.38%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.38%E -4.79%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.15%EV -8.90%E -5.12%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.06%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.43%E -5.45%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 19:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.25%0.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-08-31 19:25
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%1.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-31 19:25