Language:English
Almería v Málaga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Almería (Local)
Prediction 51.82%1.93fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.77%51.85%52.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.801.8659.88%56.09%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Málaga (Visit)
Prediction 23.93%4.18fair odd
EV +0.261%
Edge +0.062%
Kelly +0.082%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.75%24.01%23.90%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.823.824.1929.41%26.18%26.18%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.25%4.12fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.689%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%24.23%24.25%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.753.754.0131.25%26.66%26.67%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Almería (Local): 51.82%; Málaga (Visit): 23.93%; Draw: 24.25%. For Málaga (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.261%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV +0.261%E +0.062%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.11%EV -2.76%E -0.689%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.89%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 18:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -3.61%E -1.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.13%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 18:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -11.90%E -7.00%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.25%EV -11.94%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.02%EV -13.46%E -8.06%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -22.41%E -7.00%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.15% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74% | 15.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |