A Escola das Odds

Almería v Málaga

Início: 2026-04-19 19:04 UTC

Final: Almería 3–2 Málaga

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Almería (Local)

Previsão 51.82%1.93odd justa
EV -3.61%
Vantagem -1.94%
Kelly -4.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.77%51.85%52.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.781.801.8659.88%56.09%55.56%53.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Málaga (Visitante)

Previsão 23.93%4.18odd justa
EV +0.261%
Vantagem +0.062%
Kelly +0.082%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.75%24.01%23.90%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.823.824.1929.41%26.18%26.18%23.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.25%4.12odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -0.689%
Kelly -0.918%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.68%24.23%24.25%26.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.753.754.0131.25%26.66%26.67%24.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV +0.261%E +0.062%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.11%EV -2.76%E -0.689%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 18:59
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.89%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:59
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 18:58
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 19:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:01
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:00
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 19:01
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:59
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:01
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:01
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:01
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:01
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:00
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:50
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:00
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 18:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:00
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:00
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:00
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 19:00
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -3.61%E -1.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:59
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 18:59
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:59
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 19:00
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 19:01
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 19:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 19:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 19:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.13%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 19:01
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 18:58
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 19:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 19:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:59
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -11.90%E -7.00%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.25%EV -11.94%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 18:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 19:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 19:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 19:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.02%EV -13.46%E -8.06%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -22.41%E -7.00%K -10.18%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-19 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 19:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-19 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-19 19:01
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-04-19 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-04-19 19:01
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%3.8%2026-04-19 19:01
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 59.15%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%15.0%2026-04-19 19:01