L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Almería v Málaga
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Almería (Local)
Prévision 51.82%1.93cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -4.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.77%51.85%52.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.781.801.8659.88%56.09%55.56%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Málaga (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.93%4.18cote équitable
EV +0.261%
Avantage +0.062%
Kelly +0.082%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.19
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.75%24.01%23.90%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.823.824.1929.41%26.18%26.18%23.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.25%4.12cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -0.689%
Kelly -0.918%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.01
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.68%24.23%24.25%26.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.753.754.0131.25%26.66%26.67%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV +0.261%E +0.062%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.11%EV -2.76%E -0.689%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.89%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 18:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -3.61%E -1.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.13%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 18:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -11.90%E -7.00%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.25%EV -11.94%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.02%EV -13.46%E -8.06%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -22.41%E -7.00%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.15% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74% | 15.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |