مدرسة الاحتمالات

Almería v Málaga

البداية: 2026-04-19 19:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Almería 3–2 Málaga

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Almería (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.82%1.93السعر العادل
EV -3.61%
الأفضلية -1.94%
Kelly -4.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%51.77%51.85%52.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.781.801.8659.88%56.09%55.56%53.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Málaga (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.93%4.18السعر العادل
EV +0.261%
الأفضلية +0.062%
Kelly +0.082%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.75%24.01%23.90%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.823.824.1929.41%26.18%26.18%23.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.25%4.12السعر العادل
EV -2.76%
الأفضلية -0.689%
Kelly -0.918%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.68%24.23%24.25%26.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.753.754.0131.25%26.66%26.67%24.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV +0.261%E +0.062%K +0.082%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.11%EV -2.76%E -0.689%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 18:59
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.89%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:59
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 18:58
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 19:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 19:01
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 19:00
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 19:01
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:59
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:01
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:01
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:01
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 19:01
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 19:00
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:50
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:00
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 18:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:00
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:00
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:00
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 19:00
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -3.61%E -1.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:59
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 18:59
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:59
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 18:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 19:00
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 19:01
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 19:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 19:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 19:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.13%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 19:01
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 18:58
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 19:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 19:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:59
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -11.90%E -7.00%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.25%EV -11.94%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 18:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 19:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 19:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 19:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.02%EV -13.46%E -8.06%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -22.41%E -7.00%K -10.18%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-19 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 19:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-19 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-04-19 19:01
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-04-19 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-04-19 19:01
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%3.8%2026-04-19 19:01
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 59.15%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%15.0%2026-04-19 19:01