语言:简体中文
Almería v Málaga
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Almería (主队)
预测 51.82%1.93公平赔率
EV -3.61%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -4.20%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.86
博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.77%51.85%52.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.781.801.8659.88%56.09%55.56%53.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
Málaga (客队)
预测 23.93%4.18公平赔率
EV +0.261%
优势 +0.062%
Kelly +0.082%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.19
博彩公司预测分布
22.75%24.01%23.90%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.823.824.1929.41%26.18%26.18%23.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.25%4.12公平赔率
EV -2.76%
优势 -0.689%
Kelly -0.918%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.01
博彩公司预测分布
23.68%24.23%24.25%26.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.753.754.0131.25%26.66%26.67%24.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Almería (主队)：51.82%；Málaga (客队)：23.93%；平局：24.25%。 对于“Málaga (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.18。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.19，对应+0.261%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV +0.261%E +0.062%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.11%EV -2.76%E -0.689%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.89%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 18:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -3.61%E -1.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.13%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 18:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -11.90%E -7.00%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.25%EV -11.94%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.02%EV -13.46%E -8.06%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -22.41%E -7.00%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.15% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74% | 15.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |