La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Almería v Málaga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Almería (Local)
Predicción 51.82%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -4.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.77%51.85%52.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.781.801.8659.88%56.09%55.56%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Málaga (Visitante)
Predicción 23.93%4.18momio equitativo
EV +0.261%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.75%24.01%23.90%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.823.824.1929.41%26.18%26.18%23.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.25%4.12momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -0.689%
Kelly -0.918%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.68%24.23%24.25%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.753.754.0131.25%26.66%26.67%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.07%EV +0.261%E +0.062%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.11%EV -2.76%E -0.689%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.89%E -0.462%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 18:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.01%E -0.752%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -4.76%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -6.40%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.20%E -3.43%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.64%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -3.61%E -1.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -4.70%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.86%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.13%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 18:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -7.75%E -4.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.27%E -4.67%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -11.90%E -7.00%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.83%E -5.65%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.25%EV -11.94%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.49%E -3.15%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.16%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.43%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.35%E -5.98%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -9.07%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.02%EV -13.46%E -8.06%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -22.41%E -7.00%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -8.79%E -5.00%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -18.64%E -5.48%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -10.28%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.15% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74% | 15.0% | 2026-04-19 19:01 |