A Escola das Odds

AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B

Início: 2026-04-10 18:34 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AD Ceuta FC (Local)

Previsão 50.66%1.97odd justa
EV -0.716%
Vantagem -0.365%
Kelly -0.745%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.54%50.76%50.65%52.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.821.821.9659.88%54.86%54.95%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Sociedad B (Visitante)

Previsão 23.77%4.21odd justa
EV +2.20%
Vantagem +0.513%
Kelly +0.668%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.82%23.72%23.71%25.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.793.754.3029.41%26.38%26.67%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.58%3.91odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.398%
Kelly -0.538%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.61%25.53%25.64%26.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.25%28.17%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +2.20%E +0.513%K +0.668%G +0.015%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 18:30
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.46%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.09%EV -0.410%E -0.098%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.81%E -0.740%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 18:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -10.34%E -5.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:30
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.74%E -0.923%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -6.90%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:29
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:30
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:30
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -1.53%E -0.398%K -0.538%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 18:29
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:30
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:29
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 18:31
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:29
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -11.86%E -6.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 18:29
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 18:31
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 18:31
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.54%EV -0.716%E -0.365%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -7.67%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 18:29
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:30
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 18:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 18:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.51%EV -12.87%E -7.48%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -15.60%E -4.73%K -6.78%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:30
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:30
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:30
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:31
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 18:30
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:31
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 18:31
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -10.85%E -6.16%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 18:30
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.24%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -15.62%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 18:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -16.81%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.26%EV -15.41%E -9.22%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.20%EV -19.19%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -20.71%E -6.68%K -9.86%G +0.000%21.6%2026-04-10 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60%2.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-04-10 18:31