مدرسة الاحتمالاتAD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
AD Ceuta FC (المضيف)
التنبؤ 50.66%1.97السعر العادل
EV -0.716%
الأفضلية -0.365%
Kelly -0.745%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.96
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.54%50.76%50.65%52.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.821.821.9659.88%54.86%54.95%51.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Real Sociedad B (الضيف)
التنبؤ 23.77%4.21السعر العادل
EV +2.20%
الأفضلية +0.513%
Kelly +0.668%
النمو +0.015%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.82%23.72%23.71%25.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.793.754.3029.41%26.38%26.67%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 25.58%3.91السعر العادل
EV -1.53%
الأفضلية -0.398%
Kelly -0.538%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.61%25.53%25.64%26.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.25%28.17%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +2.20%E +0.513%K +0.668%G +0.015% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.46%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.09%EV -0.410%E -0.098%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.81%E -0.740%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -10.34%E -5.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.74%E -0.923%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -6.90%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -1.53%E -0.398%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -11.86%E -6.82%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.54%EV -0.716%E -0.365%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -7.67%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.51%EV -12.87%E -7.48%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -15.60%E -4.73%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -10.85%E -6.16%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.24%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -15.62%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -16.81%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.26%EV -15.41%E -9.22%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.20%EV -19.19%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -20.71%E -6.68%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60% | 2.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.0% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |