Język:Polski
AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
AD Ceuta FC (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 50.66%1.97kurs godziwy
EV -0.716%
Przewaga -0.365%
Kelly -0.745%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.96
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.54%50.76%50.65%52.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.671.821.821.9659.88%54.86%54.95%51.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Real Sociedad B (Goście)
Prognoza 23.77%4.21kurs godziwy
EV +2.20%
Przewaga +0.513%
Kelly +0.668%
Wzrost +0.015%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.82%23.72%23.71%25.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.793.754.3029.41%26.38%26.67%23.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 25.58%3.91kurs godziwy
EV -1.53%
Przewaga -0.398%
Kelly -0.538%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.85
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.61%25.53%25.64%26.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.25%28.17%25.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: AD Ceuta FC (Gospodarze): 50.66%; Real Sociedad B (Goście): 23.77%; Remis: 25.58%. Dla wyniku Real Sociedad B (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.21. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.30, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.20%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +2.20%E +0.513%K +0.668%G +0.015% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.46%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.09%EV -0.410%E -0.098%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.81%E -0.740%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -10.34%E -5.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.74%E -0.923%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -6.90%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -1.53%E -0.398%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -11.86%E -6.82%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.54%EV -0.716%E -0.365%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -7.67%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.51%EV -12.87%E -7.48%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -15.60%E -4.73%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -10.85%E -6.16%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.24%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -15.62%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -16.81%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.26%EV -15.41%E -9.22%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.20%EV -19.19%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -20.71%E -6.68%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60% | 2.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.0% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |