L’École des cotesFrançais
AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AD Ceuta FC (Local)
Prévision 50.66%1.97cote équitable
EV -0.716%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.745%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.54%50.76%50.65%52.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.821.821.9659.88%54.86%54.95%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Sociedad B (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.77%4.21cote équitable
EV +2.20%
Avantage +0.513%
Kelly +0.668%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.82%23.72%23.71%25.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.793.754.3029.41%26.38%26.67%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.58%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.398%
Kelly -0.538%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.61%25.53%25.64%26.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.25%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +2.20%E +0.513%K +0.668%G +0.015% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.46%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.09%EV -0.410%E -0.098%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.81%E -0.740%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -10.34%E -5.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.74%E -0.923%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -6.90%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -1.53%E -0.398%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -11.86%E -6.82%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.54%EV -0.716%E -0.365%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -7.67%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.51%EV -12.87%E -7.48%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -15.60%E -4.73%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -10.85%E -6.16%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.24%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -15.62%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -16.81%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.26%EV -15.41%E -9.22%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.20%EV -19.19%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -20.71%E -6.68%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-04-10 18:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60% | 2.8% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.0% | 2026-04-10 18:31 |