Die Schule der Quoten

AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-10 18:34 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

AD Ceuta FC (Heim)

Prognose 50.66%1.97faire Quote
EV -0.716%
Vorteil -0.365%
Kelly -0.745%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.96

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.54%50.76%50.65%52.12%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.671.821.821.9659.88%54.86%54.95%51.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Real Sociedad B (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.77%4.21faire Quote
EV +2.20%
Vorteil +0.513%
Kelly +0.668%
Wachstum +0.015%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.82%23.72%23.71%25.35%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.403.793.754.3029.41%26.38%26.67%23.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.58%3.91faire Quote
EV -1.53%
Vorteil -0.398%
Kelly -0.538%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.61%25.53%25.64%26.71%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.25%28.17%25.97%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +2.20%E +0.513%K +0.668%G +0.015%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 18:30
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.46%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.09%EV -0.410%E -0.098%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.81%E -0.740%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 18:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -10.34%E -5.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -2.55%E -0.622%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:30
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.74%E -0.923%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -6.90%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:29
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:30
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:30
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:30
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -1.53%E -0.398%K -0.538%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 18:29
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:30
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.49%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 18:29
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 18:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 18:31
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:29
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -11.86%E -6.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 18:29
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 18:31
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.68%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 18:31
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.54%EV -0.716%E -0.365%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -7.67%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 18:29
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:30
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -5.37%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 18:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 18:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.51%EV -12.87%E -7.48%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -15.60%E -4.73%K -6.78%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:30
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:30
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:30
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:31
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 18:30
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:31
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.24%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 18:31
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -11.76%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -10.85%E -6.16%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.43%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 18:30
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.24%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -15.62%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -13.04%E -3.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-10 18:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -16.81%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.48%E -3.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.26%EV -15.41%E -9.22%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.20%EV -19.19%E -5.64%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -20.71%E -6.68%K -9.86%G +0.000%21.6%2026-04-10 18:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60%2.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.47%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-04-10 18:31