赔率学院

Real Madrid v Real Sociedad

2026-08-16 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Real Madrid (主队)

预测 67.11%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.68%
优势 -1.85%
Kelly -5.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.05%67.11%67.11%67.61%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.361.391.381.4573.53%72.00%72.46%68.97%MIN均值中位数MAX

Real Sociedad (客队)

预测 12.31%8.12公平赔率
EV -1.49%
优势 -0.187%
Kelly -0.213%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
11.66%12.31%12.31%14.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.507.708.008.0015.38%12.99%12.50%12.50%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 20.57%4.86公平赔率
EV -3.31%
优势 -0.704%
Kelly -0.895%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
20.41%20.57%20.57%21.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.204.484.504.7023.81%22.31%22.22%21.28%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -2.68%E -1.85%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -13.81%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 09:19
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -3.36%E -2.33%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV -8.88%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -3.31%E -0.704%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-14 09:18
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -3.36%E -2.33%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV -8.88%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -3.31%E -0.704%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-14 09:19
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -6.04%E -4.31%K -15.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -19.96%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -10.51%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.38%E -5.35%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -1.49%E -0.187%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -13.81%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.60%E -3.24%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -8.72%E -6.41%K -24.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -13.81%E -1.97%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -13.60%E -3.24%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-02 22:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。