StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Real Madrid v Real Sociedad

Aanvang: 2026-08-16 19:00 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

49 wedaanbieders (14 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Real Madrid (Thuis)

Prognose 66.10%1.51margevrije odds
EV -3.50%
Voordeel -2.39%
Kelly -7.60%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.46

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
63.97%66.20%66.07%68.29%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.301.391.391.4676.92%71.91%71.94%68.49%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Real Sociedad (Uit)

Prognose 14.25%7.02margevrije odds
EV +14.00%
Voordeel +1.75%
Kelly +2.00%
Groei +0.280%

bij maximale odds 8.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
12.26%14.17%14.25%15.66%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
5.606.877.008.0017.86%14.56%14.29%12.50%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 19.65%5.09margevrije odds
EV +0.223%
Voordeel +0.044%
Kelly +0.054%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 5.10

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
18.34%19.63%19.68%21.07%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.204.734.705.1023.81%21.15%21.28%19.61%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Real Madrid (Thuis): 66.10%; Real Sociedad (Uit): 14.25%; Gelijkspel: 19.65%. Voor Real Sociedad (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 7.02. 18 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 8.00, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +14.00%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (49 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%EV -4.16%E -2.87%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.29%EV +14.00%E +1.75%K +2.00%G +0.280%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.94%EV -3.12%E -0.632%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-15 10:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.76%EV -5.48%E -3.83%K -12.74%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.26%EV +12.57%E +1.59%K +1.82%G +0.229%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -4.69%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-15 10:38
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV +5.45%E +0.736%K +0.851%G +0.046%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-14 09:18
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV +5.45%E +0.736%K +0.851%G +0.046%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-14 09:19
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.29%EV -8.12%E -5.84%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.09%EV +3.31%E +0.456%K +0.529%G +0.018%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV +0.223%E +0.044%K +0.054%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 11:20
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.16%E -2.87%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 09:19
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-06 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-06 11:19
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-06 11:19
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +0.223%E +0.044%K +0.054%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-09 08:39
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.65%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -3.10%E -0.456%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 14:00
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.07%EV -6.80%E -4.82%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.82%E -0.565%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 05:16
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -3.82%E -0.565%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -13.53%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -3.82%E -0.565%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -13.53%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 04:15
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.88%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -4.53%E -0.676%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.15%EV -3.90%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.67%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-06 17:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.67%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-06 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.67%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-06 17:04
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -6.80%E -4.82%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.71%E -0.757%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 12:34
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -14.52%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 09:00
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.65%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 11:58
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.53%EV -3.50%E -2.39%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.95%EV -8.80%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.52%EV -3.71%E -0.757%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-14 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -8.80%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -6.65%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -8.80%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -6.65%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -8.12%E -5.84%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.14%E -4.32%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.60%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 09:20
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-14 09:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -14.91%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-14 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 65.52%EV -14.07%E -10.82%K -46.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.20%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.28%EV -17.46%E -4.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-16 08:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.81%EV -8.78%E -6.36%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -17.35%E -2.99%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -3.71%E -0.757%K -0.950%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-14 09:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.78%EV -10.77%E -7.98%K -30.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.34%EV -18.78%E -3.29%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -13.53%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-14 09:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.97%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -20.20%E -3.61%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -15.50%E -3.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-14 09:19
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (4)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%2.8%2026-07-14 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%2.9%2026-07-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.50%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%2.9%2026-07-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%4.6%2026-07-13 20:20