Sprache:Deutsch
Real Madrid v Real Sociedad
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Real Madrid (Heim)
Prognose 66.10%1.51faire Quote
EV -3.50%
Vorteil -2.39%
Kelly -7.60%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.46
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
63.97%66.20%66.07%68.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.301.391.391.4676.92%71.91%71.94%68.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Real Sociedad (Auswärts)
Prognose 14.25%7.02faire Quote
EV +14.00%
Vorteil +1.75%
Kelly +2.00%
Wachstum +0.280%
bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
12.26%14.17%14.25%15.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.606.877.008.0017.86%14.56%14.29%12.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 19.65%5.09faire Quote
EV +0.223%
Vorteil +0.044%
Kelly +0.054%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 5.10
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.34%19.63%19.68%21.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.204.734.705.1023.81%21.15%21.28%19.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Real Madrid (Heim): 66.10%; Real Sociedad (Auswärts): 14.25%; Unentschieden: 19.65%. Für Real Sociedad (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.02. 18 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +14.00%.
Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Unentschieden | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%EV -4.16%E -2.87%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.29%EV +14.00%E +1.75%K +2.00%G +0.280% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.94%EV -3.12%E -0.632%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-15 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.76%EV -5.48%E -3.83%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.26%EV +12.57%E +1.59%K +1.82%G +0.229% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -4.69%E -0.967%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-15 10:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.87%E +0.916%K +1.06%G +0.073% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV +5.45%E +0.736%K +0.851%G +0.046% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.62%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV +5.45%E +0.736%K +0.851%G +0.046% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.29%EV -8.12%E -5.84%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.09%EV +3.31%E +0.456%K +0.529%G +0.018% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV +0.223%E +0.044%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.16%E -2.87%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 11:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 11:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +0.223%E +0.044%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.253%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.65%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-06 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.30%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.86%EV -3.10%E -0.456%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.07%EV -6.80%E -4.82%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.82%E -0.565%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-14 05:16 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -3.82%E -0.565%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -13.53%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.20%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -3.82%E -0.565%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -13.53%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-28 04:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.88%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -4.53%E -0.676%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.15%EV -3.90%E -0.798%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-09 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.67%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.67%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.67%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -6.80%E -4.82%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.71%E -0.757%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-15 12:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-15 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -14.52%E -3.34%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-22 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.38%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.65%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.53%EV -3.50%E -2.39%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.95%EV -8.80%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.52%EV -3.71%E -0.757%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -8.80%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -6.65%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.44%EV -4.82%E -3.35%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%EV -8.80%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -6.65%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -8.12%E -5.84%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -1.74%E -0.348%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.14%E -4.32%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.60%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -7.64%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -14.91%E -3.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.52%EV -14.07%E -10.82%K -46.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.20%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.28%EV -17.46%E -4.16%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-07-16 08:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.81%EV -8.78%E -6.36%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.66%EV -17.35%E -2.99%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -3.71%E -0.757%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.78%EV -10.77%E -7.98%K -30.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.34%EV -18.78%E -3.29%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.88%EV -13.53%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.97%EV -9.44%E -6.89%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -20.20%E -3.61%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -15.50%E -3.60%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (4)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.64% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-07-14 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.50% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44% | 2.9% | 2026-07-13 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.50% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44% | 2.9% | 2026-07-13 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.94% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12% | 4.6% | 2026-07-13 20:20 |