The School of OddsAtlético Madrid v Málaga
Head to Head
Option 1: Atlético Madrid (Local)
Odds
1.1289.29%Min
1.2778.65%Mean
1.2977.52%Median
1.3275.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
69.08%1.447Min
76.34%1.310Max
74.27%1.346Mean
74.99%1.333Median
74.82%1.337IQM
74.55%1.341Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.32 under the IQM model: 74.82%
EV -1.24%Edge -0.940%Kelly -3.88%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Málaga (Visit)
Odds
6.7514.81%Min
9.5210.50%Mean
8.5011.76%Median
14.406.94%Max
Consensus probabilities
6.80%14.699Min
13.31%7.516Max
8.68%11.527Mean
8.15%12.268Median
8.22%12.169IQM
8.47%11.813Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 14.40 under the IQM model: 8.22%
EV +18.33%Edge +1.27%Kelly +1.37%Growth +0.251%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
4.8020.83%Min
5.5118.14%Mean
5.6017.86%Median
6.0016.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
15.41%6.489Min
18.33%5.455Max
17.05%5.865Mean
16.86%5.933Median
16.96%5.895IQM
16.98%5.888Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 6.00 under the IQM model: 16.96%
EV +1.79%Edge +0.298%Kelly +0.358%Growth +0.006%
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Atlético Madrid (Local) | Málaga (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52% NM 76.31%EV -3.49% E -2.70% K -12.02% G +0.000% | 14.40I 6.94% NM 6.84%EV +18.33% E +1.27% K +1.37% G +0.251% | 5.84I 17.12% NM 16.86%EV -0.925% E -0.158% K -0.191% G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-04 10:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 76.34%EV -4.98% E -3.92% K -18.45% G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02% NM 6.80%EV +17.10% E +1.20% K +1.29% G +0.221% | 5.75I 17.39% NM 16.86%EV -2.45% E -0.426% K -0.516% G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-04 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.78%EV -6.48% E -5.18% K -25.91% G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33% NM 7.89%EV -1.39% E -0.116% K -0.126% G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24% NM 16.33%EV -1.60% E -0.276% K -0.334% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.11%EV -6.48% E -5.18% K -25.91% G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33% NM 7.82%EV -1.39% E -0.116% K -0.126% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.07%EV -6.69% E -1.22% K -1.49% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.11%EV -6.48% E -5.18% K -25.91% G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33% NM 7.82%EV -1.39% E -0.116% K -0.126% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.07%EV -6.69% E -1.22% K -1.49% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 12:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 75.56%EV -8.72% E -7.15% K -39.65% G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33% NM 7.68%EV -1.39% E -0.116% K -0.126% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.76%EV -6.69% E -1.22% K -1.49% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 02:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97% NM 74.71%EV -8.72% E -7.15% K -39.65% G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70% NM 7.93%EV -5.50% E -0.478% K -0.524% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 17.36%EV -10.93% E -2.08% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 02:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29% NM 75.93%EV -16.20% E -14.47% K -135.04% G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70% NM 7.39%EV -5.50% E -0.478% K -0.524% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 16.67%EV -13.48% E -2.64% K -3.29% G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00% NM 74.58%EV -6.48% E -5.18% K -25.91% G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09% NM 8.47%EV -9.61% E -0.873% K -0.961% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.95%EV -6.69% E -1.22% K -1.49% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00% NM 73.33%EV -6.48% E -5.18% K -25.91% G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09% NM 8.33%EV -9.61% E -0.873% K -0.961% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.33%EV -15.18% E -3.04% K -3.79% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97% NM 75.03%EV -8.72% E -7.15% K -39.65% G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09% NM 8.32%EV -9.61% E -0.873% K -0.961% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.64%EV -6.69% E -1.22% K -1.49% G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65% NM 74.87%EV -7.23% E -5.83% K -30.11% G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52% NM 8.84%EV -13.72% E -1.31% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54% NM 16.29%EV -3.30% E -0.579% K -0.702% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 75.78%EV -8.72% E -7.15% K -39.65% G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52% NM 8.81%EV -13.72% E -1.31% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.41%EV +1.79% E +0.298% K +0.358% G +0.006% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97% NM 75.18%EV -8.72% E -7.15% K -39.65% G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52% NM 8.73%EV -13.72% E -1.31% K -1.44% G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54% NM 16.09%EV -3.30% E -0.579% K -0.702% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75% NM 74.27%EV -11.72% E -9.93% K -65.09% G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76% NM 8.55%EV -15.77% E -1.54% K -1.70% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.18%EV -13.48% E -2.64% K -3.29% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-04 03:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21% NM 72.56%EV -13.21% E -11.39% K -82.57% G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76% NM 9.90%EV -30.15% E -3.55% K -4.02% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 17.54%EV -18.57% E -3.87% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-07-04 03:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76% NM 70.84%EV -1.24% E -0.940% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.47%EV -38.37% E -5.12% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.70%EV -5.00% E -0.892% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92% NM 69.08%EV -2.74% E -2.11% K -9.12% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 13.31%EV -44.53% E -6.60% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.61%EV -13.48% E -2.64% K -3.29% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92% NM 69.08%EV -2.74% E -2.11% K -9.12% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 13.31%EV -44.53% E -6.60% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 17.61%EV -13.48% E -2.64% K -3.29% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Atlético Madrid (Local) | Málaga (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37% | 11.50I 8.70% | 5.50I 18.18% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37% | 11.50I 8.70% | 5.50I 18.18% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64% | 10.50I 9.52% | 5.80I 17.24% | 9.4% | 2026-07-05 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37% | 1.06I 94.34% | 1.01I 99.01% | 172.7% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
Arbitrage (60 combinations)+0.64%LeoVegas (SE) 1.32 (76.2%) / 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) / Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%)Show all 60 combinations
| Atlético Madrid (Local) | Málaga (Visit) | Draw | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| Svenska Spel 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| ATG (SE) 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| Bally Bet 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| betPARX 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| Casumo 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| Unibet (SE) 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| Grosvenor 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| Unibet (NL) 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| Unibet 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| TABtouch 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| BetRivers 1.32 (76.2%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.635% |
| LeoVegas (SE) 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| Svenska Spel 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| ATG (SE) 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| Bally Bet 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| betPARX 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| Casumo 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| Unibet (SE) 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| Grosvenor 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| Unibet (NL) 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| Unibet 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| TABtouch 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| BetRivers 1.32 (76.2%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.1%) | Winamax (DE) 6.00 (16.8%) | +0.561% |
| LeoVegas (SE) 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| Svenska Spel 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| ATG (SE) 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| Bally Bet 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| betPARX 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| Casumo 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| Unibet (SE) 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| Grosvenor 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| Unibet (NL) 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| Unibet 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| TABtouch 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| BetRivers 1.32 (75.9%) | 1xBet 14.40 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.2%) | +0.175% |
| LeoVegas (SE) 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| Svenska Spel 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| ATG (SE) 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| Bally Bet 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| betPARX 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| Casumo 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| Unibet (SE) 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| Grosvenor 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| Unibet (NL) 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| Unibet 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| TABtouch 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| BetRivers 1.32 (75.8%) | Marathon Bet 14.25 (7.0%) | 1xBet 5.84 (17.1%) | +0.102% |
| LeoVegas (SE) 1.32 (75.8%) | 1xBet 14.40 (6.9%) | SportsBet 5.80 (17.3%) | +0.057% |
| Svenska Spel 1.32 (75.8%) | 1xBet 14.40 (6.9%) | SportsBet 5.80 (17.3%) | +0.057% |
Showing 50 of 60 combinations