The School of OddsAtlético Madrid v Málaga
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Head to Head
Atlético Madrid (Local)
Prediction 71.69%1.39fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -4.07%
Kelly -16.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.99%71.69%71.69%72.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.321.3280%76%76%76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Málaga (Visit)
Prediction 10.37%9.65fair odd
EV +19.20%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.351%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.25%10.37%10.37%13.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.758.177.5011.5015%12%13%9%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 17.95%5.57fair odd
EV +0.504%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.110%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.70%17.95%17.95%19.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.755.385.605.6021%19%18%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +19.20%E +1.67%K +1.83%G +0.351% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -11.16%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +19.20%E +1.67%K +1.83%G +0.351% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -11.16%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +14.02%E +1.27%K +1.40%G +0.196% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +14.02%E +1.27%K +1.40%G +0.196% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -14.75%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-24 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.99%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -30.04%E -4.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.67%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -30.04%E -4.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -30.04%E -4.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.