赔率学院

Atlético Madrid v Málaga

2026-08-16 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Atlético Madrid (主队)

预测 71.69%1.39公平赔率
EV -5.37%
优势 -4.07%
Kelly -16.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.32

博彩公司预测分布
68.99%71.69%71.69%72.63%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.251.311.321.3280.00%76.21%75.76%75.76%MIN均值中位数MAX

Málaga (客队)

预测 10.37%9.65公平赔率
EV +19.20%
优势 +1.67%
Kelly +1.83%
增长率 +0.351%

假设最高赔率为 11.50

博彩公司预测分布
8.25%10.37%10.37%13.49%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.758.177.5011.5014.81%12.24%13.33%8.70%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 17.95%5.57公平赔率
EV +0.504%
优势 +0.090%
Kelly +0.110%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 5.60

博彩公司预测分布
16.70%17.95%17.95%19.20%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.755.385.605.6021.05%18.58%17.86%17.86%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +19.20%E +1.67%K +1.83%G +0.351%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -11.16%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 09:18
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +19.20%E +1.67%K +1.83%G +0.351%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -11.16%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 09:19
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +14.02%E +1.27%K +1.40%G +0.196%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 09:19
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +14.02%E +1.27%K +1.40%G +0.196%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -14.75%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 22:29
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 22:30
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 22:30
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%6.9%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.99%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -30.04%E -4.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.67%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -30.04%E -4.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:30
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -30.04%E -4.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。