La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Atlético Madrid v Málaga
Testa a testa
Atlético Madrid (Casa)
Previsione 71.69%1.39quota equa
EV -5.37%
Vantaggio -4.07%
Kelly -16.79%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.99%71.69%71.69%72.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.321.3280.00%76.21%75.76%75.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Málaga (Trasferta)
Previsione 10.37%9.65quota equa
EV +19.20%
Vantaggio +1.67%
Kelly +1.83%
Crescita +0.351%
ipotizzando la quota massima 11.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.25%10.37%10.37%13.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.758.177.5011.5014.81%12.24%13.33%8.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 17.95%5.57quota equa
EV +0.504%
Vantaggio +0.090%
Kelly +0.110%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.70%17.95%17.95%19.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.385.605.6021.05%18.58%17.86%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (19 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +19.20%E +1.67%K +1.83%G +0.351% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -11.16%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +19.20%E +1.67%K +1.83%G +0.351% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -11.16%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +14.02%E +1.27%K +1.40%G +0.196% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -10.26%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -10.39%E -8.31%K -41.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +14.02%E +1.27%K +1.40%G +0.196% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -14.75%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-24 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -22.26%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +0.504%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.99%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -30.04%E -4.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.67%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -30.04%E -4.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -30.04%E -4.45%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.