Språk:Svenska
Atlético Madrid v Málaga
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Atlético Madrid (Hemma)
Prognos 72.51%1.38rättvist odds
EV -3.56%
Fördel -2.68%
Kelly -10.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.99%72.42%72.54%74.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.171.291.301.3385.47%77.51%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Málaga (Borta)
Prognos 9.35%10.69rättvist odds
EV +8.50%
Fördel +0.733%
Kelly +0.802%
Tillväxt +0.068%
med antagandet om högsta odds 11.60
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.18%9.58%9.27%13.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.759.249.5011.6014.81%10.82%10.53%8.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oavgjort
Prognos 18.13%5.51rättvist odds
EV +1.55%
Fördel +0.276%
Kelly +0.336%
Tillväxt +0.005%
med antagandet om högsta odds 5.60
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.70%18.00%18.19%19.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.705.255.255.6021.28%19.05%19.05%17.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Atlético Madrid (Hemma): 72.51%; Málaga (Borta): 9.35%; Oavgjort: 18.13%. För Málaga (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.69. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 11.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.50%.
Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta ▼ | Oavgjort | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.93%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.48%EV +8.50%E +0.733%K +0.802%G +0.068% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.59%EV +1.37%E +0.244%K +0.297%G +0.004% | 1.7% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.96%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.42%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%EV -0.267%E -0.049%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -10.24%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -10.24%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.07%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -3.89%E -0.735%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -13.87%E -2.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-24 07:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 04:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -6.46%E -0.646%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -6.46%E -0.646%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.64%EV -10.08%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -6.46%E -0.646%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -3.89%E -0.735%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.53%E -9.45%K -52.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -6.46%E -0.646%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.26%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -8.80%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.56%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.44%EV -1.17%E -0.215%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 23:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -7.52%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -8.63%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -0.267%E -0.049%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.96%EV -11.53%E -9.45%K -52.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 72.52%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.43%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.05%EV -14.77%E -3.14%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-07-17 04:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.53%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 8.91I 11.22%NM 10.52%EV -16.66%E -1.87%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 17.95%EV -5.34%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-13 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.31%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -20.49%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -3.89%E -0.735%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.99%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -36.86%E -5.46%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -5.71%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -36.86%E -5.46%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -7.52%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -36.86%E -5.46%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -7.52%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (4)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Oavgjort | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.83% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69% | 2.8% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.83% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69% | 2.8% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.83% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69% | 2.8% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.63% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 05:30 |