Sprache:Deutsch
Atlético Madrid v Málaga
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Atlético Madrid (Heim)
Prognose 72.51%1.38faire Quote
EV -3.56%
Vorteil -2.68%
Kelly -10.78%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.99%72.42%72.54%74.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.291.301.3385.47%77.51%76.92%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Málaga (Auswärts)
Prognose 9.35%10.69faire Quote
EV +8.50%
Vorteil +0.733%
Kelly +0.802%
Wachstum +0.068%
bei einer Höchstquote von 11.60
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.18%9.58%9.27%13.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.759.249.5011.6014.81%10.82%10.53%8.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 18.13%5.51faire Quote
EV +1.55%
Vorteil +0.276%
Kelly +0.336%
Wachstum +0.005%
bei einer Höchstquote von 5.60
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.70%18.00%18.19%19.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.705.255.255.6021.28%19.05%19.05%17.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Atlético Madrid (Heim): 72.51%; Málaga (Auswärts): 9.35%; Unentschieden: 18.13%. Für Málaga (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.69. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.60 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.50%.
Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Unentschieden | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.93%EV -3.56%E -2.68%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.48%EV +8.50%E +0.733%K +0.802%G +0.068% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.59%EV +1.37%E +0.244%K +0.297%G +0.004% | 1.7% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.96%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.42%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%EV -0.267%E -0.049%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -10.24%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.26%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -10.24%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.07%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -3.89%E -0.735%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -13.87%E -2.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-24 07:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 04:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.04%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.46%E -5.01%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -6.46%E -0.646%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.91%E -6.23%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -6.46%E -0.646%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.64%EV -10.08%E -8.13%K -42.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -6.46%E -0.646%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -3.89%E -0.735%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.53%E -9.45%K -52.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -6.46%E -0.646%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -9.33%E -1.87%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-14 09:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.26%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -8.80%E -0.903%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.56%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.44%EV -1.17%E -0.215%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 23:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.23%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.80%E -0.914%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 16:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -7.18%E -5.61%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -7.52%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -8.63%E -6.85%K -33.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -0.267%E -0.049%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.96%EV -11.53%E -9.45%K -52.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.96%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 72.52%EV -15.16%E -12.96%K -89.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.43%EV -15.82%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.05%EV -14.77%E -3.14%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-07-17 04:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.53%EV -5.01%E -3.82%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 8.91I 11.22%NM 10.52%EV -16.66%E -1.87%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 17.95%EV -5.34%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-13 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.31%EV -9.36%E -7.49%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV -20.49%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -3.89%E -0.735%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -29.85%E -3.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +1.55%E +0.276%K +0.336%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.99%EV -4.28%E -3.24%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -36.86%E -5.46%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -5.71%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -36.86%E -5.46%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -7.52%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -5.73%E -4.41%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -36.86%E -5.46%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -7.52%E -1.47%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:30 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (4)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.83% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69% | 2.8% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.83% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69% | 2.8% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.83% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69% | 2.8% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.63% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 05:30 |