Alavés v Getafe

2026-08-16 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

40%

27%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Alavés (Local)

Prediction 39.79%2.51fair odd

EV -4.51%

Edge -1.88%

Kelly -3.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.09%39.79%39.79%40.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.232.302.302.4045%44%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Getafe (Visit)

Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd

EV -5.16%

Edge -1.47%

Kelly -2.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.80%27.10%27.10%27.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.253.393.403.5031%30%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd

EV -3.97%

Edge -1.37%

Kelly -2.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.08%33.11%33.11%34.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.752.882.902.9036%35%34%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-21 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-16 17:30
LiveScore Bet	2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -11.27%E -5.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet	2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -11.27%E -5.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-02 22:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.