The School of Odds

Alavés v Getafe

2026-08-16 19:00 — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis)

Option 1: Alavés (Local)

2.1047.62%Min
2.2943.64%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.4840.32%Max
39.59%2.526Min
41.42%2.414Max
40.27%2.483Mean
40.13%2.492Median
40.20%2.487IQM
40.23%2.486Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.48 under the IQM model: 40.20%

EV -0.293%Edge -0.118%Kelly -0.198%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Getafe (Visit)

3.0532.79%Min
3.3829.60%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.8026.32%Max
24.85%4.024Min
28.68%3.487Max
26.98%3.706Mean
27.13%3.686Median
27.15%3.683IQM
26.96%3.709Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 27.15%

EV +3.17%Edge +0.833%Kelly +1.13%Growth +0.036%

Option 3: Draw

2.5539.22%Min
2.8734.83%Mean
2.9034.48%Median
3.0532.79%Max
31.12%3.213Min
34.97%2.859Max
32.75%3.054Mean
32.75%3.054Median
32.65%3.063IQM
32.81%3.048Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.05 under the IQM model: 32.65%

EV -0.428%Edge -0.140%Kelly -0.209%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAlavés (Local)Getafe (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.18%EV -5.52% E -2.35% K -4.09% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.85%EV +3.17% E +0.833% K +1.13% G +0.036%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.97%EV -11.85% E -4.39% K -6.97% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 00:45
1xBet2.48I 40.32% NM 39.71%EV -0.293% E -0.118% K -0.198% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 27.36%EV -2.26% E -0.629% K -0.871% G +0.000%2.99I 33.44% NM 32.94%EV -2.39% E -0.798% K -1.20% G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-04 13:55
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37% NM 40.35%EV -5.12% E -2.17% K -3.76% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 26.82%EV -3.62% E -1.02% K -1.42% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.83%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-03 23:55
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98% NM 39.70%EV -1.90% E -0.779% K -1.32% G +0.000%3.54I 28.25% NM 27.36%EV -3.89% E -1.10% K -1.53% G +0.000%2.94I 34.01% NM 32.94%EV -4.02% E -1.37% K -2.07% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 11:20
SportsBet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.62%EV -5.52% E -2.35% K -4.09% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 28.08%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.30%EV -0.428% E -0.140% K -0.209% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-02 13:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48% NM 40.93%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.69%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.38%EV -2.06% E -0.687% K -1.03% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-02 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.30I 43.48% NM 40.49%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.39%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.11%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 02:20
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.03%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.08%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.88%EV -8.59% E -3.07% K -4.77% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-02 11:04
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48% NM 39.80%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.92%EV -7.69% E -2.26% K -3.21% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.28%EV -10.22% E -3.72% K -5.84% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 02:35
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44% NM 40.63%EV -9.54% E -4.24% K -7.63% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.29%EV -9.05% E -2.70% K -3.85% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.08%EV -6.96% E -2.44% K -3.76% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 00:45
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44% NM 40.63%EV -9.54% E -4.24% K -7.63% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.29%EV -9.05% E -2.70% K -3.85% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.08%EV -6.96% E -2.44% K -3.76% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-03 06:15
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02% NM 39.77%EV -4.31% E -1.81% K -3.13% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.68%EV -10.41% E -3.15% K -4.53% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.55%EV -2.06% E -0.687% K -1.03% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-02 13:05
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.07%EV -5.52% E -2.35% K -4.09% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.54%EV -10.41% E -3.15% K -4.53% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.39%EV -2.06% E -0.687% K -1.03% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-02 13:05
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48% NM 40.59%EV -7.53% E -3.27% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.29%EV -10.41% E -3.15% K -4.53% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.12%EV -2.06% E -0.687% K -1.03% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-02 13:05
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44% NM 40.69%EV -9.54% E -4.24% K -7.63% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.74%EV -10.41% E -3.15% K -4.53% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.57%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-02 13:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44% NM 40.69%EV -9.54% E -4.24% K -7.63% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.74%EV -10.41% E -3.15% K -4.53% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.57%EV -5.32% E -1.84% K -2.80% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:35
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 40.75%EV -13.56% E -6.31% K -11.79% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.55%EV -10.41% E -3.15% K -4.53% G +0.000%2.68I 37.31% NM 32.69%EV -12.51% E -4.67% K -7.44% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-04 00:44
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 41.42%EV -15.57% E -7.41% K -14.16% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.36%EV -10.41% E -3.15% K -4.53% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 32.22%EV -11.85% E -4.39% K -6.97% G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-04 00:44
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84% NM 40.28%EV -10.34% E -4.64% K -8.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.64%EV -11.77% E -3.62% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.08%EV -8.59% E -3.07% K -4.77% G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84% NM 40.28%EV -10.34% E -4.64% K -8.41% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.64%EV -11.77% E -3.62% K -5.23% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.08%EV -8.59% E -3.07% K -4.77% G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:19
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 39.59%EV -13.56% E -6.31% K -11.79% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 27.02%EV -14.48% E -4.60% K -6.74% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 33.38%EV -16.75% E -6.57% K -10.81% G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-04 17:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 40.06%EV -15.57% E -7.41% K -14.16% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 27.58%EV -17.20% E -5.64% K -8.39% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 32.36%EV -15.12% E -5.81% K -9.45% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-04 00:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerAlavés (Local)Getafe (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%3.35I 29.85%2.76I 36.23%7.7%2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%3.35I 29.85%2.76I 36.23%7.7%2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%3.35I 29.85%2.76I 36.23%7.7%2026-07-05 10:10
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%3.40I 29.41%2.50I 40.00%14.9%2026-07-05 02:30
Arbitrage (5 combinations)+0.58%1xBet 2.48 (40.6%) / Tipico (DE) 3.80 (26.5%) / SportsBet 3.05 (33.0%)Show all 5 combinations
Alavés (Local)Getafe (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet 2.48 (40.6%)Tipico (DE) 3.80 (26.5%)SportsBet 3.05 (33.0%)+0.578%
1xBet 2.48 (40.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.80 (26.3%)betfred_uk 3.00 (33.3%)+0.028%
1xBet 2.48 (40.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.80 (26.3%)Betr (AU) 3.00 (33.3%)+0.028%
1xBet 2.48 (40.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.80 (26.3%)FanDuel 3.00 (33.3%)+0.028%
1xBet 2.48 (40.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.80 (26.3%)Sky Bet 3.00 (33.3%)+0.028%