Язык:Русский
Alavés v Getafe
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Alavés (Хозяева)
Прогноз 39.97%2.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.68%
Преимущество -0.685%
Kelly -1.15%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.46
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.62%39.96%40.01%40.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.122.322.302.4647.17%43.18%43.48%40.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Getafe (Гости)
Прогноз 27.14%3.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.29%
Преимущество -0.635%
Kelly -0.879%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.49%27.16%27.03%28.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.403.403.6031.25%29.42%29.41%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 32.89%3.04справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.667%
Преимущество -0.221%
Kelly -0.330%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.02
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.57%32.88%32.96%34.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.572.852.903.0238.91%35.04%34.48%33.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Alavés (Хозяева): 39.97%; Getafe (Гости): 27.14%; Ничья: 32.89%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.04. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.02, математическое ожидание — -0.667%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.03%EV -1.68%E -0.685%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%EV -2.29%E -0.635%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.61%EV -0.667%E -0.221%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -3.28%E -1.36%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV -3.91%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -2.31%E -0.778%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.28%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.05%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 05:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-21 13:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.81%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.46%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.49%EV -3.37%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -8.89%E -3.21%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 08:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 12:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 12:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.09%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 07:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -7.28%E -3.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.81%EV -12.84%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-27 08:02 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 02:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 08:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -10.88%E -4.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.27%EV -12.87%E -5.91%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -11.24%E -3.44%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.88%EV -12.18%E -4.56%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.20%EV -15.27%E -7.20%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.16%EV -15.47%E -6.02%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-07-11 05:44 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.66% | 4.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 11:59 |