Langue:Français
Alavés v Getafe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alavés (Local)
Prévision 39.97%2.50cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.685%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.62%39.96%40.01%40.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.322.302.4647.17%43.18%43.48%40.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Getafe (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.14%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.635%
Kelly -0.879%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.49%27.16%27.03%28.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.403.403.6031.25%29.42%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 32.89%3.04cote équitable
EV -0.667%
Avantage -0.221%
Kelly -0.330%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.57%32.88%32.96%34.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.572.852.903.0238.91%35.04%34.48%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alavés (Local) : 39.97% ; Getafe (Visiteur) : 27.14% ; Match nul : 32.89%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.04. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.02, pour une espérance de -0.667% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.03%EV -1.68%E -0.685%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%EV -2.29%E -0.635%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.61%EV -0.667%E -0.221%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -3.28%E -1.36%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV -3.91%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -2.31%E -0.778%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.28%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.05%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 05:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-21 13:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.81%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.46%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.49%EV -3.37%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -8.89%E -3.21%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 08:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 12:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 12:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.09%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 07:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -7.28%E -3.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.81%EV -12.84%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-27 08:02 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 02:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 08:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -10.88%E -4.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.27%EV -12.87%E -5.91%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -11.24%E -3.44%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.88%EV -12.18%E -4.56%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.20%EV -15.27%E -7.20%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.16%EV -15.47%E -6.02%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-07-11 05:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.66% | 4.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 11:59 |