La scuola delle quote

Alavés v Getafe

2026-08-16 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

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16 bookmaker (2 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alavés (Casa)

Previsione 39.79%2.51quota equa
EV -4.51%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.09%39.79%39.79%40.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.302.302.4044.84%43.53%43.48%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Getafe (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.10%3.69quota equa
EV -5.16%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.80%27.10%27.10%27.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.393.403.5030.77%29.52%29.41%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.11%3.02quota equa
EV -3.97%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -2.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.08%33.11%33.11%34.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.882.902.9036.36%34.74%34.48%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (16 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.87%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -11.27%E -5.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -11.27%E -5.05%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.