Idioma:Español
Alavés v Getafe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alavés (Local)
Predicción 39.97%2.50momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.685%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.62%39.96%40.01%40.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.122.322.302.4647.17%43.18%43.48%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Getafe (Visitante)
Predicción 27.14%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.635%
Kelly -0.879%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.49%27.16%27.03%28.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.403.403.6031.25%29.42%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.89%3.04momio equitativo
EV -0.667%
Ventaja -0.221%
Kelly -0.330%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.57%32.88%32.96%34.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.572.852.903.0238.91%35.04%34.48%33.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alavés (Local): 39.97%; Getafe (Visitante): 27.14%; Empate: 32.89%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.04. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.02, con un valor esperado de -0.667%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.03%EV -1.68%E -0.685%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%EV -2.29%E -0.635%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.61%EV -0.667%E -0.221%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -3.28%E -1.36%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.36%EV -3.91%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -2.31%E -0.778%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.28%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.05%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 05:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-21 13:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.81%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.46%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.49%EV -3.37%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -8.89%E -3.21%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 08:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 12:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -3.96%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 12:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.09%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 07:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -7.28%E -3.14%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.81%EV -12.84%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-27 08:02 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 09:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 02:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 08:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-06 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -10.88%E -4.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.27%EV -12.87%E -5.91%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -11.24%E -3.44%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.88%EV -12.18%E -4.56%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.20%EV -15.27%E -7.20%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.16%EV -15.47%E -6.02%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-07-11 05:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.66% | 4.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.53% | 4.9% | 2026-07-13 11:59 |