Language:English
Vitória SC v Arouca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vitória SC (Local)
Prediction 48.98%2.04fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.83%49.02%48.95%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.881.881.9655.87%53.08%53.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arouca (Visit)
Prediction 24.29%4.12fair odd
EV -0.408%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.26%24.24%25.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.833.804.1027.78%26.08%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV +0.224%
Edge +0.060%
Kelly +0.081%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.71%26.81%27.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vitória SC (Local): 48.98%; Arouca (Visit): 24.29%; Draw: 26.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.224%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.06%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.78%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -1.38%E -0.340%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -4.32%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.31%EV -7.42%E -3.93%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.92%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 03:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.62%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.45%EV -2.35%E -0.585%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.408%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 04:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -6.97%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 16:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.51%EV -12.32%E -6.88%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |
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