La scuola delle quote

Vitória SC v Arouca

2026-08-08 17:00 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

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17 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vitória SC (Casa)

Previsione 48.11%2.08quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -1.89%
Kelly -3.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.22%48.00%48.13%48.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.911.912.0056.82%52.45%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arouca (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.95%4.01quota equa
EV -5.20%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.28%25.03%24.90%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.643.703.8030.30%27.51%27.03%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.94%3.71quota equa
EV -3.02%
Vantaggio -0.838%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.32%26.96%26.97%27.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.393.373.6031.75%29.53%29.67%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (17 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.02%E -0.838%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 10:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.77%E -1.89%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 10:50
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.70%E -2.91%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 10:49
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 11:00
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 11:05
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.66%E -3.43%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 10:50
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 10:49
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 10:49
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.70%EV -10.03%E -5.36%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -6.45%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.02%EV -9.21%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 11:19
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -10.03%E -5.36%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-27 11:20
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.99%E -5.94%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.69%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-27 10:50
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.90%EV -12.43%E -6.83%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.93%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -12.45%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-27 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.35%EV -12.91%E -7.14%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-27 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.80%EV -15.32%E -8.70%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.49%EV -17.68%E -5.36%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -15.14%E -4.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-27 11:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 47.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%16.5%2026-07-27 11:25