Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Vitória SC v Arouca

Inizio: 2026-08-08 17:00 UTC

Finale: Vitória SC 0–1 Arouca

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Vitória SC (Casa)

Previsione 48.98%2.04quota equa
EV -3.99%
Vantaggio -2.04%
Kelly -4.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.83%49.02%48.95%50.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.881.881.9655.87%53.08%53.05%51.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arouca (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.29%4.12quota equa
EV -0.408%
Vantaggio -0.099%
Kelly -0.132%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.79%24.26%24.24%25.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.833.804.1027.78%26.08%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.73%3.74quota equa
EV +0.224%
Vantaggio +0.060%
Kelly +0.081%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.53%26.71%26.81%27.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Vitória SC (Casa): 48.98%; Arouca (Trasferta): 24.29%; Pareggio: 26.73%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.74. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.224%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:35
Sky Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.06%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.78%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 16:45
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -1.38%E -0.340%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -4.32%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:20
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.31%EV -7.42%E -3.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.92%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 03:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:49
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.62%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.45%EV -2.35%E -0.585%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.408%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:34
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:21
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:29
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 04:45
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:04
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:55
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:49
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:03
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -6.97%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 16:33
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:49
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 19:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 19:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.51%EV -12.32%E -6.88%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 16:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:44
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:55
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-08-08 16:30
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-08 16:45