Langue:Français
Vitória SC v Arouca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vitória SC (Local)
Prévision 48.98%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -4.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.83%49.02%48.95%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.791.881.881.9655.87%53.08%53.05%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arouca (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.29%4.12cote équitable
EV -0.408%
Avantage -0.099%
Kelly -0.132%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.79%24.26%24.24%25.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.833.804.1027.78%26.08%26.32%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV +0.224%
Avantage +0.060%
Kelly +0.081%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%26.71%26.81%27.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vitória SC (Local) : 48.98% ; Arouca (Visiteur) : 24.29% ; Match nul : 26.73%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.74. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +0.224%.
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.06%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.78%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -1.38%E -0.340%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -4.32%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.31%EV -7.42%E -3.93%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.92%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 03:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.62%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.45%EV -2.35%E -0.585%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.408%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 04:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -6.97%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 16:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.51%EV -12.32%E -6.88%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |