StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vitória SC v Arouca

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Vitória SC 0–1 Arouca

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vitória SC (Hemma)

Prognos 48.98%2.04rättvist odds
EV -3.99%
Fördel -2.04%
Kelly -4.16%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.96

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.83%49.02%48.95%50.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.791.881.881.9655.87%53.08%53.05%51.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arouca (Borta)

Prognos 24.29%4.12rättvist odds
EV -0.408%
Fördel -0.099%
Kelly -0.132%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.79%24.26%24.24%25.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.833.804.1027.78%26.08%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.73%3.74rättvist odds
EV +0.224%
Fördel +0.060%
Kelly +0.081%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.53%26.71%26.81%27.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Vitória SC (Hemma): 48.98%; Arouca (Borta): 24.29%; Oavgjort: 26.73%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.74. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.224%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:35
Sky Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.06%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.78%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 16:45
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -1.38%E -0.340%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -4.32%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:20
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.31%EV -7.42%E -3.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.92%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 03:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:49
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.62%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.45%EV -2.35%E -0.585%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.408%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:34
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:21
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:29
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 04:45
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:04
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:55
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:49
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:03
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -6.97%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 16:33
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:49
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 19:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 19:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.51%EV -12.32%E -6.88%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 16:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:44
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:55
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-08-08 16:30
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-08 16:45