StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Vitória SC v Arouca

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 17:00 UTC

Endstand: Vitória SC 0–1 Arouca

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Vitória SC (Heim)

Prognose 48.98%2.04faire Quote
EV -3.99%
Vorteil -2.04%
Kelly -4.16%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.96

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.83%49.02%48.95%50.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.791.881.881.9655.87%53.08%53.05%51.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arouca (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.29%4.12faire Quote
EV -0.408%
Vorteil -0.099%
Kelly -0.132%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.79%24.26%24.24%25.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.833.804.1027.78%26.08%26.32%24.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.73%3.74faire Quote
EV +0.224%
Vorteil +0.060%
Kelly +0.081%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.53%26.71%26.81%27.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Vitória SC (Heim): 48.98%; Arouca (Auswärts): 24.29%; Unentschieden: 26.73%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.74. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.224%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 04:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:35
Sky Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.06%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.78%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 16:45
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -1.38%E -0.340%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -4.32%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:20
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.31%EV -7.42%E -3.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.92%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 03:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:49
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.62%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.45%EV -2.35%E -0.585%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.408%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:34
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:21
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:29
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 04:45
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:04
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:55
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:49
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:03
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 03:05
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -6.97%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 16:33
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:49
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 19:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-06 19:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.51%EV -12.32%E -6.88%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 16:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:44
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-08 16:55
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-08-08 16:30
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-08 16:45