Idioma:Español
Vitória SC v Arouca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vitória SC (Local)
Predicción 48.98%2.04momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -4.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.83%49.02%48.95%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.791.881.881.9655.87%53.08%53.05%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arouca (Visitante)
Predicción 24.29%4.12momio equitativo
EV -0.408%
Ventaja -0.099%
Kelly -0.132%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.79%24.26%24.24%25.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.833.804.1027.78%26.08%26.32%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.224%
Ventaja +0.060%
Kelly +0.081%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.71%26.81%27.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.453.453.7530.77%28.95%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Vitória SC (Local): 48.98%; Arouca (Visitante): 24.29%; Empate: 26.73%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.74. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.224%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.224%E +0.060%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.53%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.14%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.45%E -0.671%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.06%EV -3.99%E -2.04%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -3.32%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.78%EV -4.05%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -1.38%E -0.340%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.83%EV -4.32%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.31%EV -7.42%E -3.93%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.92%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 03:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.62%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.45%EV -2.35%E -0.585%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -0.408%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 16:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 04:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 03:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -6.97%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 16:33 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -9.87%E -5.36%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.43%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -10.47%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-06 19:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.51%EV -12.32%E -6.88%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-06 19:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.34%E -6.27%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 16:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 16:45 |