預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sporting Lisbon v Benfica

開賽時間: 2026-04-19 17:19 UTC

最終賽果: Sporting Lisbon 1–2 Benfica

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

50 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sporting Lisbon (主隊)

預測 47.68%2.10公平賠率
EV -3.68%
優勢 -1.82%
Kelly -3.61%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.02

博彩公司預測分布
45.14%47.92%47.44%50.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.871.941.952.0253.48%51.42%51.28%49.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Benfica (客隊)

預測 25.60%3.91公平賠率
EV +2.41%
優勢 +0.602%
Kelly +0.803%
成長率 +0.019%

假設最高賠率為 4.00

博彩公司預測分布
23.42%25.41%25.83%27.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.303.613.524.0030.30%27.71%28.37%25.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 26.71%3.74公平賠率
EV -1.16%
優勢 -0.312%
Kelly -0.428%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.70

博彩公司預測分布
24.90%26.67%26.73%28.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.493.503.7033.33%28.67%28.57%27.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Sporting Lisbon (主隊):47.68%;Benfica (客隊):25.60%;和局:26.71%。 對於「Benfica (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.91的公平十進位賠率。 當時有8家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.00,對應+2.41%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (50 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 17:16
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 17:14
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 17:15
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV +1.13%E +0.286%K +0.382%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.83%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 17:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.99%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.27%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:16
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.55%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:16
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 17:14
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:14
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:14
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:14
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 17:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 17:14
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:15
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:15
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:16
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:15
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 17:15
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 17:16
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 17:16
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 17:14
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 17:03
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.16%E -0.312%K -0.428%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 17:16
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 17:16
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 17:04
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -14.23%E -4.25%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.51%E -4.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.86%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 17:16
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-04-19 17:15
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-04-19 17:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.2%2026-04-19 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%2.5%2026-04-19 17:16
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 42.90%2.04I 49.02%NM 30.07%2.27I 44.05%NM 27.03%63.0%2026-04-19 17:16