La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Sporting Lisbon v Benfica
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Sporting Lisbon (Casa)
Previsione 47.68%2.10quota equa
EV -3.68%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -3.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.14%47.92%47.44%50.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.941.952.0253.48%51.42%51.28%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Benfica (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.60%3.91quota equa
EV +2.41%
Vantaggio +0.602%
Kelly +0.803%
Crescita +0.019%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.42%25.41%25.83%27.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.613.524.0030.30%27.71%28.37%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.71%3.74quota equa
EV -1.16%
Vantaggio -0.312%
Kelly -0.428%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.90%26.67%26.73%28.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.493.503.7033.33%28.67%28.57%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV +1.13%E +0.286%K +0.382%G +0.004% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.83%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.99%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.27%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.55%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 17:03 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.16%E -0.312%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 17:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -14.23%E -4.25%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.51%E -4.70%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.86%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80% | 2.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 42.90% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 30.07% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 27.03% | 63.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |