L’École des cotesFrançais
Sporting Lisbon v Benfica
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sporting Lisbon (Local)
Prévision 47.68%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -3.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.14%47.92%47.44%50.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.941.952.0253.48%51.42%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Benfica (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.60%3.91cote équitable
EV +2.41%
Avantage +0.602%
Kelly +0.803%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.42%25.41%25.83%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.613.524.0030.30%27.71%28.37%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.71%3.74cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.312%
Kelly -0.428%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%26.67%26.73%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.493.503.7033.33%28.67%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV +1.13%E +0.286%K +0.382%G +0.004% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.83%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.99%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.27%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.55%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 17:03 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.16%E -0.312%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 17:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -14.23%E -4.25%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.51%E -4.70%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.86%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80% | 2.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 42.90% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 30.07% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 27.03% | 63.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |