Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Sporting Lisbon v Benfica
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Sporting Lisbon (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 47.68%2.10kurs godziwy
EV -3.68%
Przewaga -1.82%
Kelly -3.61%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.02
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.14%47.92%47.44%50.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.871.941.952.0253.48%51.42%51.28%49.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Benfica (Goście)
Prognoza 25.60%3.91kurs godziwy
EV +2.41%
Przewaga +0.602%
Kelly +0.803%
Wzrost +0.019%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.42%25.41%25.83%27.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.613.524.0030.30%27.71%28.37%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 26.71%3.74kurs godziwy
EV -1.16%
Przewaga -0.312%
Kelly -0.428%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.70
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.90%26.67%26.73%28.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.493.503.7033.33%28.67%28.57%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV +1.13%E +0.286%K +0.382%G +0.004% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.83%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.99%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.27%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.55%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 17:03 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.16%E -0.312%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 17:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -14.23%E -4.25%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.51%E -4.70%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.86%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80% | 2.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 42.90% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 30.07% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 27.03% | 63.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |