مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Sporting Lisbon v Benfica
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Sporting Lisbon (المضيف)
التنبؤ 47.68%2.10السعر العادل
EV -3.68%
الأفضلية -1.82%
Kelly -3.61%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.14%47.92%47.44%50.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.871.941.952.0253.48%51.42%51.28%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Benfica (الضيف)
التنبؤ 25.60%3.91السعر العادل
EV +2.41%
الأفضلية +0.602%
Kelly +0.803%
النمو +0.019%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.42%25.41%25.83%27.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.613.524.0030.30%27.71%28.37%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 26.71%3.74السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.312%
Kelly -0.428%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.90%26.67%26.73%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.493.503.7033.33%28.67%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV +2.41%E +0.602%K +0.803%G +0.019% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV +1.13%E +0.286%K +0.382%G +0.004% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.83%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.152%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.99%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.27%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.55%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -2.49%E -0.682%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.83%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.11%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 17:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.39%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 17:03 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.67%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.16%E -0.312%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 17:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -12.95%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -7.83%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -14.23%E -4.25%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.83%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.51%E -4.70%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.86%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80% | 2.2% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 42.90% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 30.07% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 27.03% | 63.0% | 2026-04-19 17:16 |