Oddsskolan

Nacional v Vitória SC

Matchstart: 2026-05-17 15:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

30 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Nacional (Hemma)

Prognos 50.14%1.99rättvist odds
EV +32.86%
Fördel +12.40%
Kelly +19.92%
Tillväxt +6.54%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.21%49.08%50.17%51.98%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.701.941.852.6558.82%51.46%54.05%37.74%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Vitória SC (Borta)

Prognos 25.99%3.85rättvist odds
EV -0.725%
Fördel -0.190%
Kelly -0.257%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.62%26.89%26.05%38.88%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.303.383.503.8243.48%29.62%28.57%26.18%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.88%4.19rättvist odds
EV -2.35%
Fördel -0.575%
Kelly -0.761%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.09

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.01%24.02%23.78%26.05%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.403.823.804.0929.41%26.19%26.32%24.45%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (30 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +32.86%E +12.40%K +19.92%G +6.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 20:55
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 20:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 20:54
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV +25.34%E +10.14%K +16.89%G +4.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -40.23%E -17.49%K -30.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -18.82%E -5.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-11 20:54
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -0.730%E -0.368%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 08:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -2.23%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:59
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 07:59
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.43%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.89%EV -2.80%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.68%EV -2.35%E -0.575%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-11 22:19
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 22:44
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 07:59
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.66%EV -8.00%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.13%EV -2.59%E -0.635%K -0.841%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 07:52
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 07:44
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:44
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:43
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 22:45
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 22:44
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 22:44
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 22:44
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 05:33
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-11 23:49
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 07:43
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.71%EV -0.725%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.42%EV -3.78%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 05:39
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.24%E -0.328%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 23:39
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 08:04
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.82%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.87%EV -3.06%E -0.821%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.31%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 22:44
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -12.26%E -7.01%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-11 22:09
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -12.76%E -7.33%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-11 22:44
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.28%EV -13.77%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-11 22:44
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -14.77%E -8.69%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -16.84%E -5.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-11 22:43
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31%1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86%82.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31%1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86%82.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31%1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86%82.0%2026-05-12 07:54
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 51.92%2.98I 33.56%NM 18.29%1.83I 54.64%NM 29.79%83.4%2026-05-12 07:55