Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Nacional v Vitória SC
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Nacional (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 50.14%1.99kurs godziwy
EV +32.86%
Przewaga +12.40%
Kelly +19.92%
Wzrost +6.54%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.21%49.08%50.17%51.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.941.852.6558.82%51.46%54.05%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Vitória SC (Goście)
Prognoza 25.99%3.85kurs godziwy
EV -0.725%
Przewaga -0.190%
Kelly -0.257%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.82
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.62%26.89%26.05%38.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.303.383.503.8243.48%29.62%28.57%26.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 23.88%4.19kurs godziwy
EV -2.35%
Przewaga -0.575%
Kelly -0.761%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.09
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.01%24.02%23.78%26.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.823.804.0929.41%26.19%26.32%24.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (30 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +32.86%E +12.40%K +19.92%G +6.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV +25.34%E +10.14%K +16.89%G +4.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -40.23%E -17.49%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -18.82%E -5.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -0.730%E -0.368%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -2.23%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.43%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.89%EV -2.80%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.68%EV -2.35%E -0.575%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.66%EV -8.00%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.13%EV -2.59%E -0.635%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:45 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 05:33 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.71%EV -0.725%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.42%EV -3.78%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.24%E -0.328%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.82%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.87%EV -3.06%E -0.821%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.31%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -12.26%E -7.01%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -12.76%E -7.33%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.28%EV -13.77%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -14.77%E -8.69%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -16.84%E -5.26%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-11 22:43 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.92% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 18.29% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 29.79% | 83.4% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |