مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Nacional v Vitória SC
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Nacional (المضيف)
التنبؤ 50.14%1.99السعر العادل
EV +32.86%
الأفضلية +12.40%
Kelly +19.92%
النمو +6.54%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.21%49.08%50.17%51.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.941.852.6558.82%51.46%54.05%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Vitória SC (الضيف)
التنبؤ 25.99%3.85السعر العادل
EV -0.725%
الأفضلية -0.190%
Kelly -0.257%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.82
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.62%26.89%26.05%38.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.303.383.503.8243.48%29.62%28.57%26.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 23.88%4.19السعر العادل
EV -2.35%
الأفضلية -0.575%
Kelly -0.761%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.09
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.01%24.02%23.78%26.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.823.804.0929.41%26.19%26.32%24.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (30 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +32.86%E +12.40%K +19.92%G +6.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV +25.34%E +10.14%K +16.89%G +4.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -40.23%E -17.49%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -18.82%E -5.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -0.730%E -0.368%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -2.23%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.43%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.89%EV -2.80%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.68%EV -2.35%E -0.575%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.66%EV -8.00%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.13%EV -2.59%E -0.635%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:45 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 05:33 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.71%EV -0.725%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.42%EV -3.78%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.24%E -0.328%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.82%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.87%EV -3.06%E -0.821%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.31%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -12.26%E -7.01%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -12.76%E -7.33%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.28%EV -13.77%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -14.77%E -8.69%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -16.84%E -5.26%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-11 22:43 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.92% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 18.29% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 29.79% | 83.4% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |