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Nacional v Vitória SC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Nacional (Casa)
Previsione 50.14%1.99quota equa
EV +32.86%
Vantaggio +12.40%
Kelly +19.92%
Crescita +6.54%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.21%49.08%50.17%51.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.941.852.6558.82%51.46%54.05%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Vitória SC (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.99%3.85quota equa
EV -0.725%
Vantaggio -0.190%
Kelly -0.257%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.62%26.89%26.05%38.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.303.383.503.8243.48%29.62%28.57%26.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.88%4.19quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -0.575%
Kelly -0.761%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.09
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.01%24.02%23.78%26.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.823.804.0929.41%26.19%26.32%24.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +32.86%E +12.40%K +19.92%G +6.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV +25.34%E +10.14%K +16.89%G +4.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -40.23%E -17.49%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -18.82%E -5.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -0.730%E -0.368%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -2.23%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.43%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.89%EV -2.80%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.68%EV -2.35%E -0.575%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.66%EV -8.00%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.13%EV -2.59%E -0.635%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:45 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 05:33 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.71%EV -0.725%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.42%EV -3.78%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.24%E -0.328%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.82%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.87%EV -3.06%E -0.821%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.31%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -12.26%E -7.01%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -12.76%E -7.33%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.28%EV -13.77%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -14.77%E -8.69%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -16.84%E -5.26%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-11 22:43 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.92% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 18.29% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 29.79% | 83.4% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |