L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Nacional v Vitória SC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nacional (Local)
Prévision 50.14%1.99cote équitable
EV +32.86%
Avantage +12.40%
Kelly +19.92%
Croissance +6.54%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.21%49.08%50.17%51.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.941.852.6558.82%51.46%54.05%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vitória SC (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.99%3.85cote équitable
EV -0.725%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.257%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.62%26.89%26.05%38.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.303.383.503.8243.48%29.62%28.57%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.88%4.19cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.575%
Kelly -0.761%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.01%24.02%23.78%26.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.823.804.0929.41%26.19%26.32%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +32.86%E +12.40%K +19.92%G +6.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +31.36%E +11.97%K +19.36%G +6.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -37.63%E -15.68%K -26.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV +25.34%E +10.14%K +16.89%G +4.28% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -40.23%E -17.49%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -18.82%E -5.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 20:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -0.730%E -0.368%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 08:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -2.23%E -1.15%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -2.74%E -1.41%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.43%EV -3.74%E -1.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.89%EV -2.80%E -0.750%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.68%EV -2.35%E -0.575%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 22:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -4.24%E -2.22%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 07:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.66%EV -8.00%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.13%EV -2.59%E -0.635%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -5.74%E -3.05%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.69%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:45 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.25%E -3.92%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 05:33 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.25%E -4.51%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.89%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -8.75%E -4.81%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.71%EV -0.725%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.42%EV -3.78%E -0.939%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 05:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.24%E -0.328%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.50%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 23:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.75%E -5.42%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-12 08:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.82%EV -10.26%E -5.73%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.87%EV -3.06%E -0.821%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.31%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -12.26%E -7.01%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -12.76%E -7.33%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -8.08%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.28%EV -13.77%E -8.00%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -10.47%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -14.77%E -8.69%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -16.84%E -5.26%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.05%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-11 22:43 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 18.31% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 29.86% | 82.0% | 2026-05-12 07:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.92% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 18.29% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 29.79% | 83.4% | 2026-05-12 07:55 |