Language:English
Moreirense FC v CS Maritimo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Moreirense FC (Local)
Prediction 34.23%2.92fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.29%34.32%34.21%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.652.702.8241.15%37.73%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CS Maritimo (Visit)
Prediction 35.51%2.82fair odd
EV -0.569%
Edge -0.203%
Kelly -0.316%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.97%35.41%35.50%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.662.652.8041.67%37.61%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.26%3.31fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.56%30.27%30.29%32.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.63%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moreirense FC (Local): 34.23%; CS Maritimo (Visit): 35.51%; Draw: 30.26%. For CS Maritimo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.569%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.38%EV -3.46%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.13%EV -1.99%E -0.721%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-14 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.15%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 11:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 18:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 09:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.49%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.27%EV -6.25%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -6.81%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.29%EV -8.25%E -3.08%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.77%E -6.16%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.54%EV -8.63%E -2.86%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 18:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.99%E -4.23%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 17:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |