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Moreirense FC v CS Maritimo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Moreirense FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 34.23%2.92справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.46%
Преимущество -1.23%
Kelly -1.90%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.82
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.29%34.32%34.21%37.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.432.652.702.8241.15%37.73%37.04%35.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
CS Maritimo (Гости)
Прогноз 35.51%2.82справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.569%
Преимущество -0.203%
Kelly -0.316%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.97%35.41%35.50%37.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.662.652.8041.67%37.61%37.74%35.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 30.26%3.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.18%
Преимущество -0.994%
Kelly -1.45%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.56%30.27%30.29%32.16%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.63%32.79%31.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Moreirense FC (Хозяева): 34.23%; CS Maritimo (Гости): 35.51%; Ничья: 30.26%. Для исхода «CS Maritimo (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.82. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.80, математическое ожидание — -0.569%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.38%EV -3.46%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.13%EV -1.99%E -0.721%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-14 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.15%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 11:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 18:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 09:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.49%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.27%EV -6.25%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -6.81%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.29%EV -8.25%E -3.08%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.77%E -6.16%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.54%EV -8.63%E -2.86%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 18:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.99%E -4.23%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 17:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |