StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Moreirense FC v CS Maritimo

Matchstart: 2026-09-14 19:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Moreirense FC 3–1 CS Maritimo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Moreirense FC (Hemma)

Prognos 34.23%2.92rättvist odds
EV -3.46%
Fördel -1.23%
Kelly -1.90%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.29%34.32%34.21%37.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.432.652.702.8241.15%37.73%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

CS Maritimo (Borta)

Prognos 35.51%2.82rättvist odds
EV -0.569%
Fördel -0.203%
Kelly -0.316%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.97%35.41%35.50%37.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.662.652.8041.67%37.61%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.26%3.31rättvist odds
EV -3.18%
Fördel -0.994%
Kelly -1.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.56%30.27%30.29%32.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.63%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Moreirense FC (Hemma): 34.23%; CS Maritimo (Borta): 35.51%; Oavgjort: 30.26%. För CS Maritimo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.82. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.80, med väntevärdet -0.569%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.38%EV -3.46%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.13%EV -1.99%E -0.721%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 19:00
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.15%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 11:21
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 11:20
Bovada🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:10
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 18:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 09:56
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 18:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:01
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 18:55
BetUS🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 19:05
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 18:45
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.49%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.27%EV -6.25%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -6.81%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 11:00
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 18:45
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:54
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:55
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 19:05
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.29%EV -8.25%E -3.08%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.77%E -6.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.54%EV -8.63%E -2.86%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 18:48
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 11:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 10:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.99%E -4.23%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 17:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-14 18:50
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:10
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:05
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 19:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-09-14 19:10
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-09-14 19:10
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-14 19:10