Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.82
avec la cote maximale 2.80
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Moreirense FC (Local) : 34.23% ; CS Maritimo (Visiteur) : 35.51% ; Match nul : 30.26%. Pour CS Maritimo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.82. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.80, pour une espérance de -0.569% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.38%EV -3.46%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.13%EV -1.99%E -0.721%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-14 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.15%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 11:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 18:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 09:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 17:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.49%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.27%EV -6.25%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -6.81%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-14 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.29%EV -8.25%E -3.08%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.77%E -6.16%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.54%EV -8.63%E -2.86%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 18:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.99%E -4.23%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 17:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-14 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-14 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 19:10 |