StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Moreirense FC v CS Maritimo

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-14 19:15 UTC

Endstand: Moreirense FC 3–1 CS Maritimo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Moreirense FC (Heim)

Prognose 34.23%2.92faire Quote
EV -3.46%
Vorteil -1.23%
Kelly -1.90%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.29%34.32%34.21%37.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.432.652.702.8241.15%37.73%37.04%35.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

CS Maritimo (Auswärts)

Prognose 35.51%2.82faire Quote
EV -0.569%
Vorteil -0.203%
Kelly -0.316%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.97%35.41%35.50%37.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.402.662.652.8041.67%37.61%37.74%35.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 30.26%3.31faire Quote
EV -3.18%
Vorteil -0.994%
Kelly -1.45%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.56%30.27%30.29%32.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.63%32.79%31.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Moreirense FC (Heim): 34.23%; CS Maritimo (Auswärts): 35.51%; Unentschieden: 30.26%. Für CS Maritimo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.82. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.80, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.569%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.38%EV -3.46%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.13%EV -1.99%E -0.721%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 19:00
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.15%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 11:21
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 11:20
Bovada🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:10
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 18:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 09:56
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 18:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:01
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 18:55
BetUS🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 19:05
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 18:45
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.49%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.27%EV -6.25%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -6.81%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 11:00
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 18:45
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:54
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:55
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 19:05
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.29%EV -8.25%E -3.08%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.77%E -6.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.54%EV -8.63%E -2.86%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 18:48
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 11:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 10:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.99%E -4.23%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 17:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-14 18:50
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:10
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:05
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 19:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-09-14 19:10
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-09-14 19:10
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-14 19:10