Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Moreirense FC v CS Maritimo

Inizio: 2026-09-14 19:15 UTC

Finale: Moreirense FC 3–1 CS Maritimo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Moreirense FC (Casa)

Previsione 34.23%2.92quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.29%34.32%34.21%37.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.432.652.702.8241.15%37.73%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

CS Maritimo (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.51%2.82quota equa
EV -0.569%
Vantaggio -0.203%
Kelly -0.316%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.97%35.41%35.50%37.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.662.652.8041.67%37.61%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.26%3.31quota equa
EV -3.18%
Vantaggio -0.994%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.56%30.27%30.29%32.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.63%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Moreirense FC (Casa): 34.23%; CS Maritimo (Trasferta): 35.51%; Pareggio: 30.26%. Per CS Maritimo (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.82. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.80, con un valore atteso del -0.569%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.38%EV -3.46%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.13%EV -1.99%E -0.721%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 19:00
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -3.05%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.15%E -1.48%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 11:21
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.30%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 11:20
Bovada🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.52%E -2.00%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:10
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 18:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 09:56
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 18:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 17:01
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.86%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 18:55
BetUS🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 19:05
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 18:45
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -6.89%E -2.53%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.99%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.49%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.27%EV -6.25%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -6.81%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 11:00
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 18:45
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:54
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 18:55
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 19:05
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.57%E -2.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.29%EV -8.25%E -3.08%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.77%E -6.16%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.54%EV -8.63%E -2.86%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 18:48
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -9.28%E -3.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 11:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.31%E -3.93%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 10:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.99%E -4.23%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 17:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -0.569%E -0.203%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.69%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -12.71%E -4.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-14 18:50
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:10
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -16.13%E -6.58%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:05
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -2.34%E -0.853%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -7.72%E -2.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -16.81%E -6.92%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 19:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-09-14 19:10
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%0.5%2026-09-14 19:10
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.00%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-14 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-14 19:10