赔率学院

FC Porto v Alverca

2026-08-09 17:00 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

FC Porto (主队)

预测 79.24%1.26公平赔率
EV -4.91%
优势 -4.09%
Kelly -24.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.20

博彩公司预测分布
74.86%79.21%79.32%80.64%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.121.171.171.2089.29%85.73%85.47%83.33%MIN均值中位数MAX

Alverca (客队)

预测 6.40%15.62公平赔率
EV +8.80%
优势 +0.518%
Kelly +0.550%
增长率 +0.048%

假设最高赔率为 17.00

博彩公司预测分布
5.44%6.38%6.29%9.32%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
9.0014.2215.0017.0011.11%7.03%6.67%5.88%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 14.36%6.96公平赔率
EV +0.515%
优势 +0.074%
Kelly +0.086%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.48%14.41%14.39%15.82%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.306.336.507.0018.87%15.81%15.38%14.29%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -7.29%E -6.23%K -42.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV +8.80%E +0.518%K +0.550%G +0.048%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.67%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 10:49
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -7.29%E -6.23%K -42.87%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV +8.80%E +0.518%K +0.550%G +0.048%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.67%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 10:50
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.64%EV -8.08%E -6.97%K -50.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +8.80%E +0.518%K +0.550%G +0.048%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -3.08%E -0.456%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.35%EV -8.87%E -7.72%K -59.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +8.80%E +0.518%K +0.550%G +0.048%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -6.67%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 11:15
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -7.29%E -6.23%K -42.87%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV +2.40%E +0.150%K +0.160%G +0.004%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.515%E +0.074%K +0.086%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 11:35
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.51%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -4.00%E -0.266%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -3.08%E -0.456%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 11:25
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.21%EV -5.70%E -4.79%K -30.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -4.00%E -0.266%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -6.67%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 11:25
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.50%E -5.51%K -36.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -4.00%E -0.266%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.67%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 11:45
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.50%E -5.51%K -36.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -4.00%E -0.266%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.67%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.50%E -5.51%K -36.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -4.00%E -0.266%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -6.67%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 11:45
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -6.50%E -5.51%K -36.09%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -10.40%E -0.743%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -6.67%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 11:25
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.91%E -4.09%K -24.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -16.80%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 10:45
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -9.67%E -8.48%K -69.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -16.80%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.33%EV -8.08%E -6.97%K -50.51%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.13%EV -18.40%E -1.44%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -10.25%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 10:44
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.50%EV -9.67%E -8.48%K -69.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.93%EV -29.60%E -2.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.57%EV -19.59%E -3.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-27 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.50%EV -9.67%E -8.48%K -69.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.72%EV -36.00%E -3.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.78%EV -15.28%E -2.59%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-27 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.86%EV -11.25%E -10.05%K -93.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.32%EV -42.40%E -4.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.82%EV -23.90%E -4.51%K -5.56%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-27 10:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。