Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 17.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.90
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Porto (Local): 78.26%; Alverca (Visitante): 6.86%; Empate: 14.88%. Para Alverca (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 14.58. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 17.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +16.58%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.31%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +16.58%E +0.975%K +1.04%G +0.172% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +13.15%E +0.797%K +0.848%G +0.112% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -12.19%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +13.15%E +0.797%K +0.848%G +0.112% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -12.19%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.43%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.94%EV -5.31%E -4.38%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.62%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.84%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 14.83I 6.74%NM 6.43%EV +1.70%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002% | 6.78I 14.75%NM 14.07%EV +0.903%E +0.133%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.18%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.56%EV -2.28%E -0.160%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.26%EV -2.52%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -3.99%E -0.285%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV -3.99%E -0.285%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.72%EV -5.31%E -4.38%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -4.75%E -0.743%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -4.75%E -0.743%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -18.15%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.79%EV -11.57%E -10.24%K -88.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.36%EV -7.73%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.46%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -14.28%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.46%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -14.28%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.21%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.20%EV +2.69%E +0.390%K +0.456%G +0.012% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.27%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.46%EV -9.22%E -7.95%K -57.62%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 7.75%EV -19.42%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.79%EV -1.78%E -0.269%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -21.14%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.12%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.85%EV -21.14%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 16:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.32% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.51% | 19.49I 5.13%NM 5.04% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45% | 1.8% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |