StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Porto v Alverca

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: FC Porto 2–0 Alverca

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Porto (Hemma)

Prognos 78.26%1.28rättvist odds
EV -4.52%
Fördel -3.71%
Kelly -20.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.19%78.19%78.25%79.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.131.181.181.2288.50%84.52%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alverca (Borta)

Prognos 6.86%14.58rättvist odds
EV +16.58%
Fördel +0.975%
Kelly +1.04%
Tillväxt +0.172%

med antagandet om högsta odds 17.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.48%6.85%6.91%8.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
11.0013.4113.0017.009.09%7.46%7.69%5.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 14.88%6.72rättvist odds
EV +2.69%
Fördel +0.390%
Kelly +0.456%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.20%14.96%14.83%16.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.116.006.9018.18%16.38%16.67%14.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: FC Porto (Hemma): 78.26%; Alverca (Borta): 6.86%; Oavgjort: 14.88%. För Alverca (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 14.58. 17 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 17.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +16.58%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.31%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +16.58%E +0.975%K +1.04%G +0.172%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:30
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +13.15%E +0.797%K +0.848%G +0.112%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -12.19%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +13.15%E +0.797%K +0.848%G +0.112%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -12.19%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.43%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.86%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.77%EV +9.72%E +0.608%K +0.648%G +0.063%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.94%EV -5.31%E -4.38%K -25.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.62%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 16:55
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:20
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.84%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%EV +2.86%E +0.191%K +0.205%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%14.83I 6.74%NM 6.43%EV +1.70%E +0.114%K +0.123%G +0.002%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.07%EV +0.903%E +0.133%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.18%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.56%EV -2.28%E -0.160%K -0.172%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.26%EV -2.52%E -0.385%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -3.99%E -0.285%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV -3.99%E -0.285%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.72%EV -5.31%E -4.38%K -25.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -4.75%E -0.743%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -4.75%E -0.743%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:50
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:54
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:45
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:44
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:45
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -18.15%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:49
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 16:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.79%EV -11.57%E -10.24%K -88.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -10.85%E -0.835%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.36%EV -7.73%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:49
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.46%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -14.28%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.46%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -14.28%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.21%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.20%EV +2.69%E +0.390%K +0.456%G +0.012%9.8%2026-08-09 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:45
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.97%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.27%EV -10.00%E -8.70%K -66.67%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV -17.71%E -1.48%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.46%EV -9.22%E -7.95%K -57.62%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.75%EV -19.42%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.79%EV -1.78%E -0.269%K -0.317%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -21.14%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -6.98%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.12%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.85%EV -21.14%E -1.84%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 16:40
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.26%E -0.502%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:34
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.19%EV -7.65%E -6.49%K -42.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -24.57%E -2.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 16:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24%0.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24%0.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.75%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.24%0.3%2026-08-09 16:55
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.32%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.51%19.49I 5.13%NM 5.04%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.8%2026-08-09 16:55
Kalshi◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.88%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73%2.0%2026-08-09 16:30